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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico CPI MoM fell to -0.27% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Mexico CPI MoM fell to -0.27% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.06% from May's -0.21% reading. The print came in cooler than the -0.13% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. CPI MoM has now declined for 4 consecutive months.
Latest Release
-0.27
Actual
-0.13
Consensus
-0.21
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (Mexico) was reported at -0.27% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of -0.13% by 0.14%. The reading fell from the previous value of -0.21%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include GDP Growth Rate QoQ (Jul 30) and Gross Domestic Product QoQ (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI MoM - MX
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About CPI MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Mexico's CPI MoM for June came in at -0.270000%, missing the estimate of -0.130000% and down from May's -0.210000%. This marks a deeper monthly deflation compared to May's reading, continuing the downward trend from April's 0.22%. The persistent decline pressures inflation expectations and may influence the central bank's policy stance ahead of upcoming releases. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.27 %, consensus -0.13 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 0.22 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, July 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Balance of Trade | 4.09 | 2.259 | 2.28 | 4.04 | Medium |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium | |