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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance 6-Month BTF Auction fell to 3.03% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France 6-Month BTF Auction fell to 3.03% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.02% from August's 3.05% reading.
Latest Release
3.025000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.045000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.26 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
6-Month BTF Auction (France) was reported at 3.03% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.05%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.41%, ranging from 2.03% to 3.05% across 45 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.01%, up from the prior three at 2.94%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.32%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.28%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 6-Month BTF Auction has averaged 2.72%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 2, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Nov 5) and Balance of Trade (Nov 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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6-Month BTF Auction - FR
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About 6-Month BTF Auction — France
DEFINITION
The 6-Month BTF Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for short-term government debt securities known as Bills of Treasury Finance (BTFs). This auction is held every six months and provides valuable insights into the current market sentiment and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. It is closely monitored by financial institutions and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market stability. The results of the auction are used to assess the government's borrowing costs and inform investment decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.025 %. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 3.045 %. Before that (Oct 2026): 2.964 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.33 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.33 | High |