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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance New Car Registrations MoM fell to -38.0% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
France New Car Registrations MoM fell to -38.0% in January 2026, released February 2026, down 68.1% from December's 30.1% reading.
Latest Release
-38.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
30.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Registrations MoM (France) was reported at -38% in February 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 30.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -2.11%, ranging from -38% to 59.8% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -15.3%, down from the prior three at 18.17%. In February readings over the past 3 years, New Car Registrations MoM has averaged -37.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/GBP, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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New Car Registrations MoM - FR
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About New Car Registrations MoM — France
DEFINITION
New Car Registrations MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the change in the number of newly registered cars in a given month compared to the previous month. This indicator is used to track the current demand for new cars in a specific market and can provide insights into consumer spending and economic trends. It is often used by analysts and investors to assess the health of the automotive industry and make informed decisions regarding investments in related companies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual -38 %. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 30.1 %. Before that (Nov 2025): -4.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.78) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.