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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance 4-Year OAT Auction climbed to 2.6% in October 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2024
France 4-Year OAT Auction climbed to 2.6% in October 2024, released November 2024, up 0.15% from September's 2.45% reading.
Latest Release
2.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.450000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish FR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
4-Year OAT Auction (France) was reported at 2.6% in November 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.45%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish FR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (May 27) and Unemployment Benefit Claims (May 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2024.
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4-Year OAT Auction - FR
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About 4-Year OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The 4-Year OAT Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rates at which the French government borrows money by selling 4-year bonds, known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs). This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current state of the French economy and the government's ability to manage its debt. A successful auction, with high demand and low interest rates, is seen as a positive sign for the country's financial stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2024): actual 2.6 %. Prior reading (Oct 2024): 2.45 %. Before that (Sep 2024): 2.46 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish FR, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.