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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance CPI MoM climbed to 0.7% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
France CPI MoM climbed to 0.7% in August 2026, up 0.1% from July's 0.6% reading. The reading matched expectations. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 0.48%. Over the past 3 months, CPI MoM averaged 0.16%, vs 0.8% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
0.7
Actual
0.7
Consensus
0.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.02 percentage points
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.7
Actual: 0.7
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (France) was reported at 0.7% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.7% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.39%, ranging from -0.3% to 1% across 9 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.63%, up from the prior three at -0.13%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/JPY (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.02%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI MoM - FR
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About CPI MoM — France
DEFINITION
France's CPI MoM for August rose 0.700000%, matching estimates and up from July's 0.600000%. This increase signals a continued upward trend in monthly inflation, reflecting persistent price pressures. Market focus remains on upcoming ECB policy decisions amid steady inflation momentum. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/JPY (Bearish EUR, r=-0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |