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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance OAT Auction climbed to 3.8% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
France OAT Auction climbed to 3.8% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.34% from April's 3.46% reading.
Latest Release
3.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.460000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Bullish CAC 40 | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
OAT Auction (France) was reported at 3.8% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.46%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.81%, ranging from 0.57% to 4.37% across 18 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.45%, up from the prior three at 2.41%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.15%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.98%). In June readings over the past 3 years, OAT Auction has averaged 2.59%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish CAC 40). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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OAT Auction - FR
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About OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The OAT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for French government bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs). This auction allows the French government to raise funds by selling these bonds to investors, and the level of demand for these bonds can provide insight into the overall health and stability of the French economy. The OAT Auction is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and the value of the euro.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.94 %. Before that (May 2026): 3.61 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish CAC 40, r=0.44) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.