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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance OAT Auction climbed to 4.74% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
France OAT Auction climbed to 4.74% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.47% from July's 4.27% reading.
Latest Release
4.740000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.270000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
OAT Auction (France) was reported at 4.74% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 4.27%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.16%, ranging from 0.57% to 4.74% across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.94%, up from the prior three at 3.21%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.08%). In September readings over the past 3 years, OAT Auction has averaged 3.34%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 17, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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OAT Auction - FR
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About OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The OAT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for French government bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs). This auction allows the French government to raise funds by selling these bonds to investors, and the level of demand for these bonds can provide insight into the overall health and stability of the French economy. The OAT Auction is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and the value of the euro.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 4.74 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 3.37 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 3.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.48) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |