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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance OAT Auction climbed to 2.87% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France OAT Auction climbed to 2.87% in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.02% from August's 1.85% reading.
Latest Release
2.870000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.850000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.39 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
OAT Auction (France) was reported at 2.87% in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.85%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.37%, ranging from 0.57% to 4.93% across 19 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.91%, down from the prior three at 3.94%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.97%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.07%). In October readings over the past 3 years, OAT Auction has averaged 3.44%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Nov 5) and Balance of Trade (Nov 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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OAT Auction - FR
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About OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The OAT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for French government bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor (OATs). This auction allows the French government to raise funds by selling these bonds to investors, and the level of demand for these bonds can provide insight into the overall health and stability of the French economy. The OAT Auction is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and the value of the euro.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 2.87 %. Prior reading (Oct 2026): 4.16 %. Before that (Oct 2026): 5.06 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.50) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.33 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.33 | High |