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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance 14-Year OAT Auction climbed to 3.71% in February 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2025
France 14-Year OAT Auction climbed to 3.71% in February 2025, released March 2025, up 0.61% from January's 3.1% reading.
Latest Release
3.710000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish FR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
14-Year OAT Auction (France) was reported at 3.71% in March 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.1%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish FR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (May 27) and Unemployment Benefit Claims (May 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2025.
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14-Year OAT Auction - FR
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About 14-Year OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The 14-Year OAT Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for French government bonds with a maturity of 14 years. This auction allows the French government to raise funds by selling these bonds to investors, and the results of the auction can provide insight into the current state of the French economy and investor confidence in the country's financial stability. It is closely monitored by economists and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market sentiment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2025): actual 3.71 %. Prior reading (Dec 2024): 3.1 %. Before that (Mar 2024): 3.02 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish FR, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.