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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance 5-Year OAT Auction fell to 2.53% in May 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2025
France 5-Year OAT Auction fell to 2.53% in May 2025, released June 2025, down 0.27% from April's 2.8% reading.
Latest Release
2.530000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish FR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
5-Year OAT Auction (France) was reported at 2.53% in June 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.69%, down from the prior three at 2.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish FR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 23) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Jun 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2025.
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5-Year OAT Auction - FR
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About 5-Year OAT Auction — France
DEFINITION
The 5-Year OAT Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for French government bonds with a maturity of 5 years. It is conducted through a competitive bidding process, where investors bid on the interest rate they are willing to receive for holding these bonds. This indicator provides insight into the current market sentiment towards French debt and can be used to assess the country's borrowing costs and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2025): actual 2.53 %. Prior reading (Mar 2025): 2.8 %. Before that (Feb 2025): 2.75 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish FR, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.