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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance CPI n.s.a MoM fell to -0.3% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France CPI n.s.a MoM fell to -0.3% in September 2026, released October 2026, down 0.6% from August's 0.3% reading.
Latest Release
-0.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.300000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI n.s.a MoM (France) was reported at -0.3% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.3%, ranging from -0.3% to 1% across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.33%, up from the prior three at 0.27%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Oct 22) and S&P Global Services PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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CPI n.s.a MoM - FR
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About CPI n.s.a MoM — France
DEFINITION
France's CPI n.s.a MoM for October registered at -0.300000%, reversing September's 0.700000% increase. This marks a sharp contraction following two consecutive months of inflation gains in August and September. The decline signals easing price pressures as markets digest the latest inflation data ahead of upcoming ECB policy decisions. Updated 10/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -0.3 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 0.7 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -0.35 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 3.05 | Low |