Loading page content
Loading page content
France 5-Year OATi Auction held to 0.49 in December 2023, released January 2024.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Bullish FR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
5-Year OATi Auction (France) was reported at 0.49 in January 2024.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish FR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Consumer Confidence (May 27) and Unemployment Benefit Claims (May 27).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update January 2024.
The 5-Year OATi Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rate at which the French government borrows money through the issuance of 5-year bonds known as Obligations Assimilables du Trésor indexés sur l'inflation (OATi). This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it reflects the current market sentiment towards the French economy and the government's ability to manage its debt. A successful auction with low interest rates indicates confidence in the economy, while a high interest rate may signal potential economic instability.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jan 2024): actual 0.49.
This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish FR, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | Consumer Confidence | 84 | 85 | 85.50 | Medium | ||
| 10:00 | Jobseekers Total | 3109.1 | 3132.1 | 3132.10 | Low | ||
| 10:00 | Unemployment Benefit Claims | 35.6 | 23 | 23.00 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:45 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Low | ||
| 06:45 | Producer Price Index YoY | 0.2 | 5.6 | 5.60 | Low | ||