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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance New Car Sales MoM fell to -25.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
France New Car Sales MoM fell to -25.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 72.5% from July's 46.9% reading.
Latest Release
-25.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
46.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (France) was reported at -25.6% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 46.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with CAC 40 (Bullish FR). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Oct 22) and S&P Global Services PMI (Oct 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - FR
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About New Car Sales MoM — France
DEFINITION
France's New Car Sales MoM fell by -25.600000% in August, a sharp decline from July's 46.900000% increase. This reversal signals a contraction in new car sales after a strong expansion the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of stabilization amid this volatility. Updated 9/24/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -25.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -7.1 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -20.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with CAC 40 (Bullish FR, r=0.50) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Thursday, October 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 2.6 | 3.4 | 3.40 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.7 | -0.4 | -0.35 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.3 | 0.7 | -0.3 | -0.30 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 2.4 | 3 | 3.05 | Low |