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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Core Inflation Rate climbed to 0.17% in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Mexico Core Inflation Rate climbed to 0.17% in September 2026, up 0.09% from August's 0.08% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.2% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated.
Latest Release
0.17
Actual
0.2
Consensus
0.08
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Core Inflation Rate (Mexico) was reported at 0.17% in September 2026. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.03%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.08%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Oct 1) and Consumer Confidence (Oct 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Core Inflation Rate - MX
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About Core Inflation Rate — Mexico
DEFINITION
The Core Inflation Rate is a key financial indicator that measures the change in prices of goods and services, excluding volatile items such as food and energy. This indicator provides a more accurate representation of overall inflation trends and helps policymakers make informed decisions regarding monetary policy. It is widely used by investors, economists, and central banks to assess the health of an economy and its potential impact on financial markets. A stable and moderate Core Inflation Rate is generally seen as a sign of a healthy economy, while high or rapidly increasing rates can indicate potential risks of inflation.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.17 %, consensus 0.2 %.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Monday, September 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Balance of Trade | 0.605 | -0.848 | 1.4 | 1.00 | Medium |