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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina PBoC 1-Year MLF Announcement held to 2 in October 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2024
China PBoC 1-Year MLF Announcement held to 2 in October 2024, released November 2024. The reading matched the 2 consensus.
Latest Release
2.000000
Actual
2.000000
Consensus
2.000000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Nov 2024
Predicted: 2
Actual: 2
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CNY | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The November 2024 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 2. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY) and positively correlated with AUD/USD (Bullish AUD).
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PBoC 1-Year MLF Announcement - CN
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | CN | Current Account | 184.1 | 243.8 | 215 | 210.05 | Medium |
| 09:10 | CN | Current Account | 184.1 | 243.8 | 215 | 210.05 | Medium |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -3.4 | -3.5 | -3.50 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | 1.7 | 1.6 | 1.60 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | CN | Retail Sales YoY | 1.7 | 2 | 2.00 | High | |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.7 | 5.9 | 5.90 | High | |
| 02:00 | CN | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.3 | 5.30 | Low | |
| Wednesday, May 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 5Y | 3.5 | 3.5 | 3.50 | Medium | |
| 01:15 | CN | Loan Prime Rate 1Y | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | Medium | |