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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 69.29 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 69.29 in September 2026, released October 2026, down 5.38 from August's 74.67 reading.
Latest Release
69.290000
Actual
—
Consensus
74.670000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNH | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.37 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (China) was reported at 69.29 in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 74.67. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 72.84, ranging from 69.29 to 76.34 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 72.92, down from the prior three at 73.82. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.87) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.48).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/CNH (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish AUD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include NBS Non Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31) and NBS Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - CN
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — China
DEFINITION
China's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for October registered 69.290000, down sharply from September's 74.670000, signaling a notable decline in consumer sentiment. The index fell below the 70 mark, indicating a contraction compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch for further data to assess the impact on economic momentum and policy direction. Updated 10/16/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 69.29. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 74.67. Before that (Aug 2026): 74.79.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNH (Bullish USD, r=0.46) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:45 | CN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 51.6 | 51.30 | High | |