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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 74.67 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 74.67 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 0.12 from July's 74.79 reading.
Latest Release
74.670000
Actual
—
Consensus
74.790000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.67 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (China) was reported at 74.67 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 74.79. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 73.28, ranging from 70.42 to 76.34 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 74.10, up from the prior three at 73.69. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.52) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.24).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include FDI (Sep 17) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - CN
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — China
DEFINITION
China's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for September registered at 74.670000, slightly below August's 74.79. The index shows a marginal decline after a period of relative stability, indicating a subtle shift in sentiment. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend. Updated 9/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 74.67. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 74.79. Before that (Jul 2026): 72.84.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.67) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | CN | M2 Money Supply YoY | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.55 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Total Social Financing | 1660 | 1410 | 2040 | 1850.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.00 | Low |
| 09:00 | CN | New Loans | 60 | -340 | 400 | 230.00 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | House Price Index YoY | -3 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -3.10 | Medium |
| 02:00 | CN | Retail Sales YoY | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.63 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Unemployment Rate | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.95 | High |
| 02:00 | CN | Fixed Asset Investment | -7.2 | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.72 | Medium |