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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 72.84 in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 72.84 in June 2026, released July 2026, up 0.56 from May's 72.28 reading.
Latest Release
72.840000
Actual
—
Consensus
72.280000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.71 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (China) was reported at 72.84 in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 72.28. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 72.90, ranging from 70.42 to 76.34 across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 73.82, up from the prior three at 72.68.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - CN
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — China
DEFINITION
China's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for June registered at 72.840000, up from May's 72.280000, indicating a modest improvement. The index remains below May's 76.34, signaling a partial pullback after a recent peak. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further clarity on consumer sentiment trends. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 72.84. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 72.28. Before that (May 2026): 76.34.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.71) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | CN | NBS General PMI | 49.3 | 50.6 | 50.4 | 49.85 | Low |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 50.2 | 50 | 49.50 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.2 | 50.3 | 50 | 49.60 | High |