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China Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 72.28 in May 2026, released June 2026, down 4.06 from April's 76.34 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | INDEX | Bearish Nikkei 225 | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| USD/CNY | ▲ Direct | +0.44 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | INDEX | Bearish Hang Seng | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (China) was reported at 72.28 in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 76.34. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 72.76, ranging from 70.42 to 76.34 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 73.69, up from the prior three at 72.00.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Jun 22) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
China’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for June registered 72.280000, down from May’s 76.340000, marking a notable decline. The index fell from May to June, indicating a weakening in the measured sentiment or activity. Market participants will watch for further data to assess the trend’s persistence amid current economic conditions. Updated 6/12/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 72.28. Prior reading (May 2026): 76.34. Before that (Apr 2026): 74.6.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Nikkei 225 (Bearish Nikkei 225, r=-0.52) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.45 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.45 | High | |
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | -4.1 | -1.6 | -2 | -3.05 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.40 | High | |