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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Non Farm Payrolls QoQ climbed to 0.2% in Q3 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased December 2024
France Non Farm Payrolls QoQ climbed to 0.2% in Q3 2024, released December 2024, up 0.3% from June's -0.1% reading. The print exceeded the 0.1% consensus by 0.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 0.24%.
Latest Release
0.2
Actual
0.1
Consensus
-0.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: -0.05
Actual: -0.1
Error: +0.05
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ (France) was reported at -0.1% in August 2026. This matched the market consensus of -0.1% exactly. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.06%, ranging from -0.3% to 0.2% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.07%, up from the prior three at -0.17%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.13%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.16%). In August readings over the past 3 years, Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ has averaged 0.03%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 5) and Unemployment Rate (Aug 7).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Non Farm Payrolls QoQ - FR
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About Non Farm Payrolls QoQ — France
DEFINITION
Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ is a widely recognized economic indicator that measures the change in the number of employed individuals in the United States, excluding farm workers, on a quarterly basis. This data is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it provides valuable insights into the overall health and direction of the US labor market. A positive QoQ change in non-farm payrolls is generally seen as a sign of a strong and growing economy, while a negative change may indicate a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Labor-market data shapes consumer-spending forecasts and is closely tracked by central banks assessing the output gap and wage-inflation pass-through. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus -0.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): -0.1 %. Before that (Jan 2026): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/GBP (Bullish EUR, r=0.47) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:30 | FR | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | High |
| 05:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | -0.1 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High |
| 05:30 | FR | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.7 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Medium |
| 05:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 2.6 | 3.1 | 2.7 | 2.65 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.1 | 1.8 | 1.8 | 1.95 | High |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.25 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.6 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.50 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | CPI MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |
| 06:45 | FR | HICP YoY | 2.4 | 2 | 2.1 | 2.25 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | HICP MoM | 0.6 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.45 | Medium |