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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.6 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Mexico S&P Global Manufacturing PMI climbed to 49.6 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.9 from April's 47.7 reading. The reading matched the 47.5 consensus.
Latest Release
49.600000
Actual
47.500000
Consensus
47.700000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.36
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 48.95
Actual: 49.6
Error: -0.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Mexico) was reported at 49.60 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 47.50 by 2.10. The reading rose from the previous value of 47.70. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 48.37, ranging from 46.10 to 50.20 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 48.53, up from the prior three at 46.57. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.44) is comparable than the prior year (σ 1.40). In June readings over the past 3 years, S&P Global Manufacturing PMI has averaged 49.17.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.36.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 3, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Aug 3) and Consumer Confidence (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - MX
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — Mexico
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 49.6, consensus 47.5. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 47.7. Before that (Mar 2026): 48.9.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 1.5 | -0.6 | 1.3 | 1.40 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |
| 12:00 | MX | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 1.85 | Medium |