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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions fell to -14.9K in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions fell to -14.9K in May 2026, released June 2026, down 8.8K from April's -6.1K reading.
Latest Release
-14.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
-6.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -15 thousand in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -6 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 26 thousand, ranging from -16 thousand to 57 thousand across 42 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -7 thousand, down from the prior three at 5 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 17 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 7 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions has averaged 10 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 10) and Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions - US
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About CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions — United States
DEFINITION
US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions fell to -14.900000K in June from -6.100000K in May, marking a significant increase in net short exposure. This shift deepens the bearish stance compared to the prior month’s reading. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary. Updated 6/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -14.9 K. Prior reading (May 2026): -6.1 K. Before that (May 2026): -1.4 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.