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US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions fell to -14.9K in May 2026, released June 2026, down 8.8K from April's -6.1K reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | STOCKS | Bullish GOOGL | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions (United States) was reported at -15 thousand in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -6 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 26 thousand, ranging from -16 thousand to 57 thousand across 42 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -7 thousand, down from the prior three at 5 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 17 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 7 thousand). In June readings over the past 3 years, CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions has averaged 10 thousand.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500).
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include MBA 30-Year Mortgage Rate (Jun 10) and Core Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
US CFTC Nasdaq 100 speculative net positions fell to -14.900000K in June from -6.100000K in May, marking a significant increase in net short exposure. This shift deepens the bearish stance compared to the prior month’s reading. Market participants remain cautious ahead of upcoming economic data and Federal Reserve commentary. Updated 6/5/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -14.9 K. Prior reading (May 2026): -6.1 K. Before that (May 2026): -1.4 K.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.3 | 95.9 | 96 | 95.65 | Low | |
| 12:30 | Exports | 327.1 | 318.8 | 329.1 | 328.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Balance of Trade | -55.9 | -56.6 | -56.1 | -56.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Imports | 383 | 375.4 | 387 | 385.00 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 3.2 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 1.85 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Wholesale Inventories MoM | 0.6 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Low | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.17 | 4.04 | 4.07 | 4.12 | High | |
| 15:30 | Atlanta Fed GDPNow | 3.3 | 3 | 3 | 3.15 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, June 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.02 | 335.11 | 335.11 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.407 | 333.7 | 333.70 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.9 | 2.90 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.2 | 4.20 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.974 | -5.1 | -3.74 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | 215 | -275 | -391.07 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | 215 | -280.9 | -282.70 | Medium | ||
| Thursday, June 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 1 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6 | 6.4 | 6.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 225 | 219 | 219.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1777 | 1780 | 1780.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.4 | 0.7 | 0.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 5.2 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 214.75 | 216.5 | 216.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 156.496 | 157.5 | 157.50 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 4.4 | 4.4 | 4.40 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| Friday, June 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Current Conditions | 45.8 | 46.2 | 47.65 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Inflation Expectations | 4.8 | 4.8 | 4.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan 5 Year Inflation Expectations | 3.9 | 3.8 | 3.80 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Expectations | 44.1 | 44.3 | 44.10 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Michigan Consumer Sentiment | 44.8 | 46 | 46.25 | High | ||