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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUnited Kingdom GDP 3-Month Avg climbed to 0.7% in March 2026
FMPQuarterlyReleased June 2026
United Kingdom GDP 3-Month Avg climbed to 0.7% in March 2026, released June 2026, up 0.1% from February's 0.6% reading. The reading matched the 0.7% consensus.
Latest Release
0.700000
Actual
0.700000
Consensus
0.600000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.08 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 0.7
Actual: 0.7
Error: +0
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.52 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.49 | INDEX | Bullish DAX | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
GDP 3-Month Avg (United Kingdom) was reported at 0.7% in June 2026. This matched the market consensus of 0.7% exactly. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.27%, ranging from -0.1% to 0.7% across 11 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a quarterly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.5%, up from the prior three at 0.03%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.29%). In June readings over the past 3 years, GDP 3-Month Avg has averaged 0.7%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, positively correlated (Bullish Euro STOXX 50). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.08%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 17) and Core Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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GDP 3-Month Avg - UK
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About GDP 3-Month Avg — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
Growth GDP 3-Month Avg Growth is a key economic indicator that measures the average growth rate of a country's gross domestic product (GDP) over a three-month period. This metric provides valuable insight into the overall health and performance of an economy, as it reflects the pace at which the country's production and consumption of goods and services are expanding. A positive GDP 3-Month Avg Growth indicates a growing economy, while a negative growth rate may signal a slowdown or recession. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, investors, and businesses to make informed decisions and assess the current state of the economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released quarterly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.7 %, consensus 0.7 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.6 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 0.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.65) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.