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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil CFTC BRL speculative net positions climbed to 39.5K in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Brazil CFTC BRL speculative net positions climbed to 39.5K in July 2026, up 4K from June's 35.5K reading.
Latest Release
39.500000
Actual
—
Consensus
35.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Brazil) was reported at 40 thousand in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 36 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 45 thousand, ranging from 18 thousand to 83 thousand across 39 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 37 thousand, down from the prior three at 54 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 16 thousand) is comparable than the prior year (σ 18 thousand). In July readings over the past 3 years, CFTC BRL speculative net positions has averaged 37 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 4) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CFTC BRL speculative net positions - BR
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About CFTC BRL speculative net positions — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's CFTC BRL speculative net positions rose to 39.500K in July from June's 35.500K, marking a rebound after a mid-July dip to 30.8K. The increase signals renewed speculative interest in the Brazilian real following a period of contraction earlier in the month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further directional cues amid ongoing volatility. Updated 7/31/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 39.5 K. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 30.8 K. Before that (Jun 2026): 41 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 81.9 | 81.1 | 81.5 | 81.70 | Medium |
| 11:30 | BR | Nominal Budget Balance | -166 | -163.679 | -133.2 | -149.60 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Budget Balance | -166 | -163.679 | -133.2 | -149.60 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 81.9 | 81.1 | 81.5 | 81.70 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index YoY | 2.51 | 2 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Producer Price Index MoM | -0.77 | -0.3 | 0.5 | -0.14 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 50.8 | 49.7 | 51.25 | Low | |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.18 | 0.4 | 0.10 | Low | |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production MoM | -0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | BR | Industrial Production YoY | 0.2 | -0.8 | -0.80 | Low | |