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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia CFTC AUD speculative net positions climbed to -34.9K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions climbed to -34.9K in August 2026, released September 2026, up 4.5K from July's -39.4K reading.
Latest Release
-34.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
-39.400000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Australia) was reported at -35 thousand in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -39 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -9 thousand, ranging from -84 thousand to 86 thousand across 38 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -40 thousand, down from the prior three at -39 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 51 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 14 thousand). In September readings over the past 3 years, CFTC AUD speculative net positions has averaged -58 thousand.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 18, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include RBA Hunter Speech (Sep 21) and S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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CFTC AUD speculative net positions - AU
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About CFTC AUD speculative net positions — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia’s CFTC AUD speculative net positions improved to -34.900K in the week ending September 11 from -39.400K the prior week, reflecting a reduction in net short exposure. This marks a partial retracement from August’s deeper shorts near -44.5K recorded on August 28. Market participants remain cautious amid mixed signals ahead of upcoming economic data and central bank commentary. Updated 9/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -34.9 K. Prior reading (Sep 2026): -39.4 K. Before that (Aug 2026): -44.5 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:00 | AU | Westpac Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.25 | Low | |
| 01:00 | AU | Leading Index MoM | 0 | 0.2 | 0.20 | Low | |