Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia CFTC AUD speculative net positions climbed to -39.4K in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions climbed to -39.4K in August 2026, released September 2026, up 5.1K from July's -44.5K reading.
Latest Release
-39.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
-44.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Australia) was reported at -39 thousand in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -45 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -11 thousand, ranging from -84 thousand to 86 thousand across 38 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -43 thousand, down from the prior three at -37 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 52 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 14 thousand). In September readings over the past 3 years, CFTC AUD speculative net positions has averaged -62 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Westpac Consumer Confidence Change (Sep 8) and Westpac Consumer Confidence Index (Sep 8).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
CFTC AUD speculative net positions - AU
Loading chart data...
About CFTC AUD speculative net positions — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's CFTC AUD speculative net positions for August registered at -39.400000K, improving from July's -44.500000K. This shift indicates a reduction in net short positions, reflecting a modest easing in bearish sentiment toward the AUD. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further directional cues amid this adjustment. Updated 9/4/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual -39.4 K. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -44.5 K. Before that (Aug 2026): -44.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Monday, September 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | AU | ANZ Job Advertisements MoM | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low | |
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | 88.9 | 85.7 | 85.00 | Medium | |
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | 6 | -3.6 | -4.45 | High | |
| 01:30 | AU | Private House Approvals MoM | 0.4 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits YoY | 8.9 | 10 | 10.00 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits MoM | 7.2 | -3.6 | -3.60 | Low | |
| 01:30 | AU | NAB Business Confidence | -6 | -8 | -4.00 | High | |
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Change | 6 | -3.6 | -4.45 | High | |
| 00:30 | AU | Westpac Consumer Confidence Index | 88.9 | 85.7 | 85.00 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | AU | NAB Business Confidence | -6 | -8 | -4.00 | High | |
| Thursday, September 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:00 | AU | Consumer Inflation Expectation | 4.9 | 5.1 | 4.60 | Low | |