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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
AustraliaAustralia CFTC AUD speculative net positions fell to -24.7K in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Australia CFTC AUD speculative net positions fell to -24.7K in June 2026, released July 2026, down 7K from May's -17.7K reading.
Latest Release
-24.700000
Actual
—
Consensus
-17.700000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P/ASX 200 | ▼ Inverse | −0.31 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CFTC AUD speculative net positions (Australia) was reported at -25 thousand in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -18 thousand. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -18 thousand, ranging from -101 thousand to 86 thousand across 38 releases. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -4 thousand, down from the prior three at 63 thousand. Volatility over the past year (σ 59 thousand) is higher than the prior year (σ 10 thousand). In July readings over the past 3 years, CFTC AUD speculative net positions has averaged -65 thousand.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P/ASX 200 (Bearish S&P).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 31, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Ai Group Industry Index (Aug 4) and Balance of Trade (Aug 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CFTC AUD speculative net positions - AU
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About CFTC AUD speculative net positions — Australia
DEFINITION
Australia's CFTC AUD speculative net positions fell to -24.700000K in July from -17.700000K in June, marking a further increase in net short positioning. June's -17.700000K followed May's higher levels, indicating a sustained shift toward bearish sentiment. Market participants remain cautious amid this growing net short exposure ahead of upcoming economic data. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual -24.7 K. Prior reading (Jun 2026): -4.1 K. Before that (Jun 2026): 18.2 K.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AU Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits MoM | 7.2 | -1.6 | -1 | 0.90 | Medium |
| 01:30 | AU | Import Price Index QoQ | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 2.85 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Building Permits YoY | 8.9 | 5.5 | -0.1 | 1.10 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Import Prices QoQ | 5.7 | 0.1 | 0 | 2.85 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Private House Approvals MoM | 0.4 | 2.8 | -1 | -0.38 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Export Prices QoQ | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.80 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | AU | Housing Credit MoM | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.55 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3 | 2.5 | 2.50 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Producer Price Index QoQ | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.42 | Medium |
| 01:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit MoM | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.70 | Low |
| 01:30 | AU | Private Sector Credit YoY | 8.5 | 8.2 | 8.2 | 8.35 | Low |