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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MexicoMexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Mexico Industrial Production MoM climbed to 0.6% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 0.1% from July's 0.5% reading. The print exceeded the 0.0% consensus by 0.6%. Industrial Production MoM has now risen for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged 0.35%, vs 0.23% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 79th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
0.6
Actual
0
Consensus
0.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.51 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 0.1
Actual: 0.6
Error: -0.5
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Mexico) was reported at 0.6% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0% by 0.6%. The reading rose from the previous value of 0.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.18%, ranging from -1.1% to 2.1% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.43%, up from the prior three at 0.23%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.85%) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.03%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged -0.07%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.51%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Oct 27) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Oct 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - MX
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About Industrial Production MoM — Mexico
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.69 %, consensus 0 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 0.5 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 0.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - MX Events
| Wednesday, October 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12:00 | MX | Retail Sales YoY | 3.3 | 1.8 | 2 | 2.65 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Retail Sales MoM | 1.2 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.75 | Low |
| Thursday, October 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | Mid-month Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.20 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Mid-month Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.78 | 3.79 | 3.7 | 3.72 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Mid-month Inflation Rate MoM | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.37 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Unemployment Rate | 2.8 | 3 | 3 | 2.98 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Mid-month Inflation Rate YoY | 3.62 | 3.42 | 3.6 | 3.60 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Unemployment Rate n.s.a | 2.8 | 3 | 3 | 2.90 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Inflation Rate | 0.41 | 0.33 | 0.37 | 0.39 | Low |
| 12:00 | MX | Core Inflation Rate | 0.25 | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.21 | Low |
| Friday, October 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | MX | Economic Activity MoM | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 12:00 | MX | Economic Activity YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low | |