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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 10-Year BTP Auction climbed to 4.0% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Italy 10-Year BTP Auction climbed to 4.0% in July 2026, up 0.37% from June's 3.63% reading.
Latest Release
4.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.630000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
10-Year BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 4% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.63%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.49%, ranging from 2.23% to 4.09% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.95%, up from the prior three at 3.4%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.48%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.13%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year BTP Auction has averaged 3.7%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Retail Sales MoM (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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10-Year BTP Auction - IT
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About 10-Year BTP Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 10-Year BTP Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for Italian government bonds with a maturity of 10 years. This auction is conducted by the Italian Treasury and provides insight into the country's borrowing costs and overall market sentiment towards its debt. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact the country's borrowing ability and economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 4 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.77 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 4.09 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | IT | Unemployment Rate | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.40 | Medium |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.8 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 5.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.20 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 89.6 | 88.6 | 88.9 | 89.25 | Medium |
| 08:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 94.2 | 92.4 | 92.5 | 93.35 | Medium |