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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 10-Year BTP Auction fell to 3.77% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Italy 10-Year BTP Auction fell to 3.77% in May 2026, down 0.32% from April's 4.09% reading.
Latest Release
3.770000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.090000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
10-Year BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 3.77% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.09%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.45%, ranging from 2.23% to 4.09% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.72%, up from the prior three at 3.45%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.43%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.18%). In May readings over the past 3 years, 10-Year BTP Auction has averaged 3.77%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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10-Year BTP Auction - IT
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About 10-Year BTP Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 10-Year BTP Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for Italian government bonds with a maturity of 10 years. This auction is conducted by the Italian Treasury and provides insight into the country's borrowing costs and overall market sentiment towards its debt. It is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact the country's borrowing ability and economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 3.77 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 4.09 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 3.31 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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