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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 6-Month BOT Auction climbed to 2.57% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Italy 6-Month BOT Auction climbed to 2.57% in July 2026, up 0.09% from June's 2.48% reading.
Latest Release
2.567000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.479000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.83 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.77 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
6-Month BOT Auction (Italy) was reported at 2.57% in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.48%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.21%, ranging from 1.97% to 2.57% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.49%, up from the prior three at 2.18%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.46%). In July readings over the past 3 years, 6-Month BOT Auction has averaged 2.71%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 27, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and Retail Sales MoM (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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6-Month BOT Auction - IT
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About 6-Month BOT Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 6-Month BOT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 6-month Bills of Treasury (BOTs) by the government to investors, with the interest rate determined by the market. This indicator provides insights into the current state of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. It is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market sentiment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 2.567 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 2.479 %. Before that (May 2026): 2.411 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.83) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.85 | High |
| 08:00 | IT | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 09:00 | IT | Unemployment Rate | 5.7 | 5.3 | 5.1 | 5.40 | Medium |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index YoY | 5.8 | 7.3 | 5.4 | 5.60 | Low |
| 10:00 | IT | Producer Price Index MoM | 0 | -0.2 | -0.4 | -0.20 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 89.6 | 88.6 | 88.9 | 89.25 | Medium |
| 08:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 94.2 | 92.4 | 92.5 | 93.35 | Medium |