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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 6-Month BOT Auction fell to 2.85% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Italy 6-Month BOT Auction fell to 2.85% in October 2026, down 0.02% from September's 2.87% reading.
Latest Release
2.853000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.873000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.52 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.42 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
6-Month BOT Auction (Italy) was reported at 2.85% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.87%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.42%, ranging from 2.03% to 2.87% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.73%, up from the prior three at 2.49%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.29%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.26%). In October readings over the past 3 years, 6-Month BOT Auction has averaged 2.61%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and S&P Global Services PMI (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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6-Month BOT Auction - IT
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About 6-Month BOT Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 6-Month BOT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 6-month Bills of Treasury (BOTs) by the government to investors, with the interest rate determined by the market. This indicator provides insights into the current state of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. It is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market sentiment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 2.853 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 2.873 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 2.472 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.64) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IT | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.25 | High |
| 11:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 90.3 | 91.2 | 90.9 | 91.18 | Medium |
| 11:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 91.9 | 91.9 | 92 | 92.15 | Medium |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.8 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.85 | High |
| 09:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.05 | High |
| 10:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.80 | High |
| 10:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.43 | Medium |
| 10:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.68 | Low |
| 10:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 5.6 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.88 | Low |