Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 6-Month BOT Auction fell to 2.47% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Italy 6-Month BOT Auction fell to 2.47% in August 2026, down 0.1% from July's 2.57% reading.
Latest Release
2.472000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.567000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.60 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
6-Month BOT Auction (Italy) was reported at 2.47% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.57%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.25%, ranging from 1.97% to 2.57% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.51%, up from the prior three at 2.31%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.23%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.4%). In August readings over the past 3 years, 6-Month BOT Auction has averaged 2.58%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and Balance of Trade (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
SHARE
6-Month BOT Auction - IT
Loading chart data...
About 6-Month BOT Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 6-Month BOT Auction is a financial indicator used to measure the demand for short-term government debt securities. It involves the auctioning of 6-month Bills of Treasury (BOTs) by the government to investors, with the interest rate determined by the market. This indicator provides insights into the current state of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debts. It is closely monitored by financial analysts and investors as it can impact interest rates and overall market sentiment.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 2.472 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.567 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 2.479 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.81) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Balance of Trade | 4.232 | 4.77 | 4.32 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -1 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |