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Italy 6-Month BOT Auction climbed to 2.48 in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.45 from January's 2.03 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The March 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 2.03. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU) and negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.944 | 5.2 | 5.97 | Medium | ||