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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 2-Year BTP Short Term Auction fell to 3.55% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Italy 2-Year BTP Short Term Auction fell to 3.55% in October 2026, down 0.09% from September's 3.64% reading.
Latest Release
3.550000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.640000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.91 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.46 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
2-Year BTP Short Term Auction (Italy) was reported at 3.55% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.64%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.4%, up from the prior three at 2.41%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 25, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and S&P Global Services PMI (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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2-Year BTP Short Term Auction - IT
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About 2-Year BTP Short Term Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 2-Year BTP Short Term Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for Italian government bonds with a maturity of two years. It provides insight into the current market sentiment towards Italian debt and can be used to assess the country's short-term borrowing costs. This indicator is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can reflect the overall economic stability and confidence in the Italian economy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 3.55 %. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 3.64 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 3.02 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.91) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | IT | Unemployment Rate | 6.3 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 6.25 | High |
| 11:00 | IT | Consumer Confidence | 90.3 | 91.2 | 90.9 | 91.18 | Medium |
| 11:00 | IT | Business Confidence | 91.9 | 91.9 | 92 | 92.15 | Medium |
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 0.8 | 1 | 0.9 | 0.85 | High |
| 09:00 | IT | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.05 | High |
| 10:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 5.4 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.80 | High |
| 10:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.43 | Medium |
| 10:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.2 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.68 | Low |
| 10:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 5.6 | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.88 | Low |