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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly New Car Sales MoM fell to -43.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Italy New Car Sales MoM fell to -43.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 41.1% from July's -2.5% reading.
Latest Release
-43.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
-2.500000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (Italy) was reported at -43.6% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of -2.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Oct 16).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - IT
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About New Car Sales MoM — Italy
DEFINITION
Italy's New Car Sales MoM plunged to -43.600000% in September, a sharp decline from August's -2.500000%, signaling a severe contraction in the market. This steep drop marks a significant deterioration in demand compared to the prior month. Market participants will closely watch upcoming economic data and central bank signals for further guidance. Updated 9/24/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -43.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): -3.3 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -16.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Friday, October 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Industrial Production YoY | 0 | -0.1 | -0.3 | -0.15 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Industrial Production MoM | -1.3 | 0.6 | 0 | -0.65 | Medium |