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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly New Car Sales MoM fell to -16.3% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Italy New Car Sales MoM fell to -16.3% in May 2026, down 34.1% from April's 17.8% reading.
Latest Release
-16.300000
Actual
—
Consensus
17.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (Italy) was reported at -16.3% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 17.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 23, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - IT
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About New Car Sales MoM — Italy
DEFINITION
Italy's New Car Sales MoM fell by -16.300000% in May, reversing April's 17.800000% gain. May's sharp contraction follows a strong expansion in April, signaling a sudden downturn in the market. The decline may influence market sentiment ahead of upcoming economic data releases. Updated 5/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -16.3 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 17.8 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 10.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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