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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly BTP Auction climbed to 1.78% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Italy BTP Auction climbed to 1.78% in February 2026, released March 2026, up 0.27% from January's 1.51% reading.
Latest Release
1.780000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.510000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.62 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 1.78% in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.51%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.67%, ranging from 1.13% to 2.7% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.16%, up from the prior three at 1.34%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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BTP Auction - IT
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About BTP Auction — Italy
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2026): actual 1.78 %. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 2.7 %. Before that (Nov 2025): 1.08 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.62) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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