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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 12-Month BOT Auction climbed to 2.97% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Italy 12-Month BOT Auction climbed to 2.97% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.2% from July's 2.77% reading.
Latest Release
2.967000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.768000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▼ Inverse | −0.80 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.79 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.64 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
12-Month BOT Auction (Italy) was reported at 2.97% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.77%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.42%, ranging from 2.05% to 2.97% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.81%, up from the prior three at 2.59%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.33%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.29%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 12-Month BOT Auction has averaged 2.63%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with Euro STOXX 50, negatively correlated (Bearish Euro STOXX 50).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 9, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and Balance of Trade (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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12-Month BOT Auction - IT
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About 12-Month BOT Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 12-Month BOT Auction is a financial indicator that measures the interest rates at which the Bank of Thailand (BOT) sells its 12-month bonds to investors. This auction is an important tool used by the BOT to manage the country's monetary policy and control inflation. The results of the auction provide insights into the current state of the economy and can impact the overall interest rates in the market. Investors and analysts closely monitor this indicator as it reflects the confidence in the country's economy and the BOT's ability to manage it effectively.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 2.967 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 2.768 %. Before that (Jul 2026): 2.69 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bearish FTSE 100, r=-0.80) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Balance of Trade | 4.232 | 4.77 | 4.32 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -1 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |