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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 15-Year BTP Auction fell to 3.85% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Italy 15-Year BTP Auction fell to 3.85% in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.02% from January's 3.87% reading.
Latest Release
3.850000
Actual
—
Consensus
3.870000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
15-Year BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 3.77% in April 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.27%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.92%, up from the prior three at 3.78%. In March readings over the past 3 years, 15-Year BTP Auction has averaged 3.81%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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15-Year BTP Auction - IT
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About 15-Year BTP Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 15-Year BTP Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand and interest for Italian government bonds with a maturity of 15 years. It is a key event in the bond market, providing insight into the current state of the Italian economy and investor sentiment towards the country's long-term debt. This auction is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can impact borrowing costs and overall market confidence in Italy.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.77 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 4.27 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 3.85 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.