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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 3-Year BTP Auction climbed to 3.43% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Italy 3-Year BTP Auction climbed to 3.43% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.45% from July's 2.98% reading.
Latest Release
3.430000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.980000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
3-Year BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 3.43% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.98%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.73%, ranging from 2.36% to 3.43% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.15%, up from the prior three at 2.7%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.34%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.18%). In September readings over the past 3 years, 3-Year BTP Auction has averaged 2.83%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Balance of Trade (Sep 15) and Balance of Trade (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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3-Year BTP Auction - IT
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About 3-Year BTP Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 3-Year BTP Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for Italian government bonds with a maturity of 3 years. It is used to assess the current market sentiment towards Italian debt and can provide insight into the country's economic stability and borrowing costs. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact the overall performance of the Italian bond market and the country's financial health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 3.43 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.98 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.03 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Balance of Trade | 4.232 | 4.77 | 4.32 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.1 | -1 | 0.1 | 0.07 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 3.18 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.50 | Low |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 2.9 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low |