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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 3-Year BTP Auction climbed to 3.03% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Italy 3-Year BTP Auction climbed to 3.03% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.05% from April's 2.98% reading.
Latest Release
3.030000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.980000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Bullish S&P 500 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
3-Year BTP Auction (Italy) was reported at 3.03% in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 2.98%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.58%, ranging from 2.36% to 3.03% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.92%, up from the prior three at 2.47%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.24%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.27%). In June readings over the past 3 years, 3-Year BTP Auction has averaged 2.91%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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3-Year BTP Auction - IT
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About 3-Year BTP Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 3-Year BTP Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for Italian government bonds with a maturity of 3 years. It is used to assess the current market sentiment towards Italian debt and can provide insight into the country's economic stability and borrowing costs. This auction is closely monitored by investors and analysts as it can impact the overall performance of the Italian bond market and the country's financial health.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.03 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 2.98 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 2.91 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.41) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.