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Italy Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 43.71 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 0.33 from April's 43.38 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Bullish FTSE 100 | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Bullish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Italy) was reported at 43.71 in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 43.38. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 45.75, ranging from 43.38 to 48.07 across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 44.87, down from the prior three at 47.21.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with FTSE 100, positively correlated (Bullish FTSE 100).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Italy's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI rose to 43.71 in June from May's 43.38, marking a slight improvement. The index remains below the 50 threshold, indicating ongoing contraction in the sector. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of stabilization amid persistent weakness. Updated 6/11/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 43.71. Prior reading (May 2026): 43.38. Before that (Apr 2026): 43.12.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.45) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.293 | 4.813 | 5.19 | 4.74 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.25 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.15 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | ||
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | ||