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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly 10-Year Bond Auction fell to 1.36% in November 2015
FMPMonthlyReleased November 2015
Italy 10-Year Bond Auction fell to 1.36% in November 2015, down 0.12% from October's 1.48% reading.
Latest Release
1.360000
Actual
—
Consensus
1.480000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
10-Year Bond Auction (Italy) was reported at 1.36% in November 2015. The reading fell from the previous value of 1.48%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.55%, down from the prior three at 2.04%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish EU).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (May 28) and Consumer Confidence (May 28).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update November 2015.
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10-Year Bond Auction - IT
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About 10-Year Bond Auction — Italy
DEFINITION
The 10-Year Bond Auction is a financial indicator that measures the demand for government-issued bonds with a maturity of 10 years. It is a key event in the bond market, as it provides insight into the current state of the economy and investor confidence in the government's ability to repay its debt. The results of the auction can impact interest rates and serve as a gauge for future economic trends. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it can have significant implications for the overall financial market.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Nov 2015): actual 1.36 %. Prior reading (Oct 2015): 1.48 %. Before that (Sep 2015): 1.82 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.