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Italy Index-Linked BTP Auction climbed to 2.24 in September 2023, released October 2023, up 0.19 from August's 2.05 reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | INDEX | Bullish EU | → View |
| EUR/GBP | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
The October 2023 reading rose from the previous value of 2.05. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR) and positively correlated with DAX (Bullish EU).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI YoY | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.8 | 2.75 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP YoY | 2.8 | 1.6 | 2.9 | 2.85 | Low | |
| 08:00 | CPI MoM | 1.1 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 1.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | HICP MoM | 1.6 | 1.7 | 1.7 | 1.65 | Low | |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | Balance of Trade | 4.944 | 5.2 | 5.97 | Medium | ||