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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Exports climbed to 54.7B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
France Exports climbed to 54.7B in July 2026, released September 2026, up 0.2B from June's 54.5B reading. The reading matched the 54.4B consensus. Exports has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 54.05B, vs 53.03B in the prior 3-month window. Exports is now the highest in 37 months.
Latest Release
54.7
Actual
54.4
Consensus
54.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.84 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Sep 2026
Predicted: 53.88
Actual: 54.7
Error: -0.83
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.29 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (France) was reported at 54.70 billion in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 54.40 billion by 0.30 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 54.50 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.29 billion, ranging from 51.70 billion to 54.70 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 54.27 billion, up from the prior three at 53.70 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.12 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.35 billion). In September readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 52.20 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, positively correlated (Bullish DAX). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.84 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for October 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Sep 23) and S&P Global Services PMI (Sep 23).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Exports - FR
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About Exports — France
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 54.7 B, consensus 54.4 B. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 54.5 B. Before that (May 2026): 53.6 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.56) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 2.4 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.8 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.80 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.70 | Low |
| 06:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.4 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 2.40 | Low |