Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
FranceFrance Exports fell to 54.2B in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
France Exports fell to 54.2B in August 2026, released October 2026, down 0.4B from July's 54.6B reading. The reading matched the 55.1B consensus. Year-over-year, the indicator is up 2.4B. Over the past 3 months, Exports averaged 54.6B, vs 53.57B in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 85th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
54.2
Actual
55.1
Consensus
54.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.82 billion
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 55.03
Actual: 54.2
Error: +0.82
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| CAC 40 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| DAX | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▲ Direct | +0.41 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (France) was reported at 54.20 billion in October 2026. This missed the market consensus of 55.10 billion by 0.90 billion. The reading fell from the previous value of 54.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.56 billion, ranging from 51.70 billion to 54.70 billion across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 54.47 billion, up from the prior three at 53.87 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.01 billion) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.41 billion). In October readings over the past 3 years, Exports has averaged 51.90 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100). A secondary relationship exists with CAC 40, positively correlated (Bullish CAC 40). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.82 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 6, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Nov 5) and Balance of Trade (Nov 6).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Exports - FR
Loading chart data...
About Exports — France
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 54.2 B, consensus 55.1 B. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 54.7 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 54.5 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with FTSE 100 (Bullish FTSE 100, r=0.60) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - FR Events
| Friday, October 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | -0.1 | 0 | 0.1 | 0.00 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | GDP Growth Rate YoY | -0.1 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.10 | High |
| 06:30 | FR | Household Consumption MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 06:30 | FR | Consumer Spending MoM | -0.5 | -0.5 | 0.1 | -0.20 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index MoM | 1.7 | 1 | 0.5 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.2 | 0.33 | Medium |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.3 | 0.3 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.4 | 3.6 | 3.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.8 | 4.9 | 5.4 | 5.73 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Non-Farm Payrolls QoQ | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:45 | FR | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.33 | High |