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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM fell to 0.6% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM fell to 0.6% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.03% from April's 0.63% reading.
Latest Release
0.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.630000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.6% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.63%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.31%, ranging from -0.04% to 0.63% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.52%, up from the prior three at 0.15%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM - BR
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About Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM rose 0.60% in May, down from April's 0.63%, indicating a slight deceleration in monthly inflation. The May reading continues the trend of elevated inflation following April's 0.82%, but remains above earlier months this year. Market participants will watch upcoming data for signs of sustained easing amid central bank vigilance. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.6 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.63 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 0.82 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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