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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM fell to 0.63% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Brazil Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM fell to 0.63% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.19% from March's 0.82% reading.
Latest Release
0.630000
Actual
—
Consensus
0.820000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.63% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.82%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.28%, ranging from -0.04% to 0.63% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 0.41%, up from the prior three at 0.24%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 10) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM - BR
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About Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Brazilian IPCA Inflation Index SA MoM rose 0.630000% in May, down from April's 0.820000%, indicating a deceleration in monthly inflation. May's reading shows a moderation compared to the prior month but remains elevated relative to earlier 2026 levels. Market focus will remain on upcoming inflation data and central bank responses amid persistent price pressures. Updated 5/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 0.63 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 0.82 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 0.33 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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