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Brazil Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 35.58 Percent in December 2024, up 1.92 Percent from November's 33.67 Percent reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Trade (% of GDP) (Brazil) was reported at 35.58 Percent in December 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 33.67 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 36.02 Percent, up from the prior three at 32.95 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 28) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.04 | 5.2 | 6.29 | Low | ||
| 11:30 | Current Account | -6.04 | -5.8 | -7.43 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 89.1 | 89.6 | 88.65 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.89 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.37 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.37 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 6.1 | 6 | 6.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.54 | -1.2 | -1.20 | Low | ||