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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 35.58 Percent in December 2024
World BankYearlyReleased December 2024
Brazil Trade (% of GDP) climbed to 35.58 Percent in December 2024, up 1.92 Percent from November's 33.67 Percent reading.
Latest Release
35.584524
Actual
—
Consensus
33.666230
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Brazil) was reported at 35.58 Percent in December 2024. The reading rose from the previous value of 33.67 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 36.02 Percent, up from the prior three at 32.95 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Jun 12) and Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2024.
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Trade (% of GDP) - BR
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Brazil
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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