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Data from World Bank. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Trade (% of GDP) fell to 35.29 Percent in December 2025
World BankYearlyReleased December 2025
Brazil Trade (% of GDP) fell to 35.29 Percent in December 2025, down 0.29 Percent from November's 35.58 Percent reading.
Latest Release
35.291482
Actual
—
Consensus
35.584524
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Trade (% of GDP) (Brazil) was reported at 35.29 Percent in December 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 35.58 Percent. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a yearly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 34.85 Percent, down from the prior three at 36.26 Percent. In December readings over the past 3 years, Trade (% of GDP) has averaged 34.85 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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Trade (% of GDP) - BR
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About Trade (% of GDP) — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Trade (% of GDP) for 2025 registered at 35.291482%, slightly below 2024's 35.584524%. This marks a modest contraction in trade activity as a share of GDP compared to the previous year. Market participants will monitor upcoming economic data for further clarity on Brazil's trade dynamics. Updated 7/1/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released annually.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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