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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil IGP-DI Inflation MoM climbed to 0.06% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil IGP-DI Inflation MoM climbed to 0.06% in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.92% from July's -0.86% reading.
Latest Release
0.060000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.860000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
IGP-DI Inflation MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.06% in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.86%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.1%, ranging from -0.86% to 0.87% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.53%, down from the prior three at 0.08%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.57%) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.79%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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IGP-DI Inflation MoM - BR
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About IGP-DI Inflation MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's IGP-DI Inflation MoM rose to 0.06% in August, reversing July's -0.86% decline. August's slight inflation contrasts with the prior month's contraction, signaling a modest price increase. Market focus now shifts to upcoming inflation data and central bank policy adjustments. Updated 9/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 0.06 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -0.86 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.79 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.43) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| 17:30 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.70 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.15 | Low | |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |