Loading page content
Loading page content
Brazil IGP-DI Inflation MoM fell to 0.87% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 1.54% from April's 2.41% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
IGP-DI Inflation MoM (Brazil) was reported at 0.87% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.41%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.11%, ranging from -1.8% to 0.87% across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 0.08%, down from the prior three at 0.16%.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU).
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Brazil's IGP-DI Inflation MoM for May registered 0.87%, down sharply from April's 2.41%, signaling a notable deceleration in monthly inflation. This slowdown follows April's elevated reading and suggests easing price pressures after a period of rapid increase. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this trend amid ongoing central bank vigilance. Updated 6/9/26
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 0.87 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2.41 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.14 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.42) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:00 | Business Confidence | 46.7 | 47.2 | 46.5 | 46.33 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | IGP-10 Inflation Index MoM | -0.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.00 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales MoM | -1.5 | 0.7 | -0.6 | -1.05 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1.50 | Low | |
| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.7 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Low | ||