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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 54.07 in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Brazil Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI climbed to 54.07 in September 2026, released October 2026, up 1.9 from August's 52.17 reading.
Latest Release
54.070000
Actual
—
Consensus
52.170000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.55 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.31 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Brazil) was reported at 54.07 in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 52.17. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.10, ranging from 52.17 to 55.14 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 53.21, up from the prior three at 52.53. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.87) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.61).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, positively correlated (Bullish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 11, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Oct 30) and BCB Focus Market Readout (Nov 2).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - BR
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI rose to 54.070000 in October, up from September's 52.170000, signaling continued expansion. The index improved by 1.9 points, reversing the slight dip seen earlier in the year. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of sustained growth amid stable central bank policies. Updated 10/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 54.07. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 52.17. Before that (Aug 2026): 53.38.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish USD, r=0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Thursday, October 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | 1.47 | 1.57 | 1.6 | 1.54 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.4 | 0.5 | 1 | 0.70 | Low |
| 17:00 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |
| 18:30 | BR | Gross Debt to GDP | 82.9 | 82.9 | 83.5 | 83.37 | Low |