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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 52.17 in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI fell to 52.17 in August 2026, released September 2026, down 1.21 from July's 53.38 reading.
Latest Release
52.170000
Actual
—
Consensus
53.380000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.61 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.54 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.47 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.25 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI (Brazil) was reported at 52.17 in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 53.38. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 53.08, ranging from 52.17 to 55.14 across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 52.85, up from the prior three at 52.42. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.86) is lower than the prior year (σ 1.28).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Bullish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI - BR
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About Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil’s Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI for September registered 52.170000, down from August’s 53.38, indicating a slight deceleration in expansion. The index remains above the 50 threshold, signaling continued growth but at a slower pace than the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further clarity on Brazil’s economic momentum. Updated 9/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 52.17. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 53.38. Before that (Jun 2026): 53.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.61) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| 17:30 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales MoM | 0.5 | -0.2 | -0.65 | Medium | |
| 12:00 | BR | Retail Sales YoY | 2.9 | 2.2 | 1.70 | Low | |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.15 | Low | |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |