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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Tax Revenue fell to 264.44B in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Brazil Tax Revenue fell to 264.44B in July 2026, down 2.35B from June's 266.79B reading.
Latest Release
264.440000
Actual
—
Consensus
266.790000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Tax Revenue (Brazil) was reported at 264.44 billion in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 266.79 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 261.29 billion, ranging from 222.12 billion to 325.75 billion across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 251.12 billion, down from the prior three at 271.47 billion.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jul 31) and Industrial Production MoM (Aug 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Tax Revenue - BR
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About Tax Revenue — Brazil
DEFINITION
Tax Revenue is a financial indicator that measures the amount of money collected by a government through taxes. It is a key measure of a country's fiscal health and is used to fund public services and programs. Tax revenue can be influenced by economic conditions, tax policies, and compliance rates, making it an important indicator for assessing the overall financial stability of a government.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 264.4 B. Prior reading (May 2026): 266.8 B. Before that (Mar 2026): 229.3 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -1.16 | -0.5 | -1.09 | -1.13 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Medium |