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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Auto Sales MoM fell to -1.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil Auto Sales MoM fell to -1.6% in August 2026, released September 2026, down 4.2% from July's 2.6% reading.
Latest Release
-1.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.600000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.81 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.36 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Sales MoM (Brazil) was reported at -1.6% in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.41%, ranging from -39% to 17.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.07%, up from the prior three at -6.6%. Volatility over the past year (σ 14.81%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 14.21%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15) and Retail Sales MoM (Sep 15).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Auto Sales MoM - BR
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About Auto Sales MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Auto Sales MoM fell by -1.600000% in August, reversing July's 2.600000% gain. This contraction signals a slowdown after a brief expansion in July. Market focus now shifts to upcoming economic data for further clarity on demand trends. Updated 9/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual -1.6 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 2.6 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.81) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| 17:30 | BR | Business Confidence | 44.9 | 46.3 | 45.7 | 45.30 | Medium |
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.15 | Low | |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 14 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |