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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Auto Sales MoM climbed to 8.6% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Brazil Auto Sales MoM climbed to 8.6% in February 2026, released March 2026, up 47.6% from January's -39.0% reading.
Latest Release
8.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
-39.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.36 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Auto Sales MoM (Brazil) was reported at -7.8% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 45.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.61%, ranging from -39% to 17.1% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -4.43%, down from the prior three at 2.2%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with USD/BRL, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 12, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Inflation Rate YoY (Jun 10) and Inflation Rate MoM (Jun 10).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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Auto Sales MoM - BR
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About Auto Sales MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's Auto Sales MoM fell by -7.800000% in April, reversing sharply from March's 45.5% surge. This contraction signals a significant slowdown after a strong rebound in March. Market participants will watch for further data to assess the sustainability of this volatility amid ongoing economic adjustments. Updated 5/8/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual -7.8 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 45.5 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 8.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.