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Brazil Auto Sales MoM fell to -0.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 11.4% from May's 10.6% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.73 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/BRL | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Auto Sales MoM (Brazil) was reported at -0.8% in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1%, ranging from -39% to 17.1% across 10 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 6.13%, up from the prior three at -10.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.59%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 14.96%).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Gross Domestic Product MoM (Jul 31) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jul 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Brazil's Auto Sales MoM fell by -0.800000% in June, reversing from May's 10.600000% increase. June's decline marks a contraction following a strong expansion in May. Market focus now shifts to upcoming economic data and central bank signals amid this slowdown. Updated 7/9/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.8 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 10.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -7.8 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.73) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -1.16 | -0.5 | -1.09 | -1.13 | Low | |
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Low | |
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Medium | |