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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil IPCA mid-month CPI YoY fell to 3.9 in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
Brazil IPCA mid-month CPI YoY fell to 3.9 in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.2 from January's 4.1 reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
3.900000
Actual
3.740000
Consensus
4.100000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Mar 2026
Predicted: 3.82
Actual: 3.9
Error: -0.08
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
The March 2026 reading fell from the previous value of 4.1. Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmanomics model has produced a median absolute forecast error of ±0.07. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
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IPCA mid-month CPI YoY - BR
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Friday, May 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | BR | Business Confidence | 47.2 | 45.2 | 46 | 46.60 | Medium |
| Monday, May 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | BR | IBC-BR Economic Activity | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.90 | Low | |