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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil New Car Sales MoM fell to -0.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Brazil New Car Sales MoM fell to -0.8% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 11.4% from May's 10.6% reading. The print exceeded the -7.0% consensus by 6.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 14.23%. Over the past 3 months, New Car Sales MoM averaged 1.4%, vs 27.05% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
-0.8
Actual
-7
Consensus
10.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.4 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: -3.45
Actual: -0.8
Error: -2.65
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (Brazil) was reported at -0.8% in July 2026. This beat the market consensus of -7% by 6.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Industrial Production MoM (Aug 4) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - BR
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About New Car Sales MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's New Car Sales MoM for June came in at -0.8%, significantly beating the -7.0% estimate. This marks a sharp slowdown from May's 10.6% increase, indicating a near-flat sales trend after a strong rebound. Market focus now shifts to upcoming economic data for further clarity on consumer demand. Updated 7/9/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual -0.8 %, consensus -7 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 10.6 %. Before that (Apr 2026): -7.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:00 | BR | IGP-M Inflation MoM | -1.16 | -0.5 | -1.09 | -1.13 | Low |
| 11:30 | BR | Bank Lending MoM | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.60 | Low |
| 12:00 | BR | Unemployment Rate | 5.4 | 5.6 | 5.4 | 5.40 | Medium |