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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil New Car Sales MoM climbed to 10.6% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Brazil New Car Sales MoM climbed to 10.6% in May 2026, released June 2026, up 18.4% from April's -7.8% reading. The print exceeded the 3.5% consensus by 7.1%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 15.43%.
Latest Release
10.6
Actual
3.5
Consensus
-7.8
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales MoM (Brazil) was reported at 10.6% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3.5% by 7.1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -7.8%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for July 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate Decision (Jun 17) and CFTC BRL speculative net positions (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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New Car Sales MoM - BR
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About New Car Sales MoM — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil's New Car Sales MoM surged 10.600000% in June, beating the 3.500000% estimate. This marks a sharp rebound from May's -7.800000% decline, signaling renewed market expansion. The data supports a more optimistic outlook for Brazil's automotive sector amid stable central bank policies. Updated 6/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 10.6 %, consensus 3.5 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): -7.8 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 45.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.