Loading page content
Data from Emerging Markets composite. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BrazilBrazil Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly climbed to 0.82 Percent in August 2026
Emerging Markets compositeMonthlyReleased September 2026
Brazil Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly climbed to 0.82 Percent in August 2026, released September 2026, up 1.14 Percent from July's -0.32 Percent reading.
Latest Release
0.820000
Actual
—
Consensus
-0.320000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bovespa | ▲ Direct | +0.89 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly (Brazil) was reported at 0.82 Percent in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of -0.32 Percent. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 0.35 Percent, ranging from -0.32 Percent to 0.82 Percent across 10 releases. This is classified as a critical-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.19 Percent, down from the prior three at 0.47 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.33 Percent) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.34 Percent). In September readings over the past 3 years, Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly has averaged 0.58 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with Bovespa (Bullish Bovespa). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include BCB Focus Market Readout (Nov 2) and BCB Focus Market Readout (Nov 3).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
SHARE
Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly - BR
Loading chart data...
About Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly — Brazil
DEFINITION
Brazil IPCA Inflation Monthly rose to 0.820000 percent in September, reversing August's -0.320000 percent decline. September's inflation marked a sharp rebound from the prior month’s contraction. Market focus will remain on upcoming central bank decisions amid this inflation volatility. Updated 10/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Releases in this category are tier-1 market events that frequently produce same-session cross-asset repricing. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 0.82 Percent. Prior reading (Aug 2026): -0.32 Percent. Before that (Jul 2026): 0.07 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Bovespa (Bullish Bovespa, r=0.89) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - BR Events
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13:00 | BR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 44.8 | 43 | 41.90 | Low | |
| Wednesday, November 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | BR | IPC-Fipe Inflation MoM | 0.51 | 0.7 | 0.48 | Low | |
| 17:30 | BR | Net Payrolls | 165.83 | 180 | 180.00 | Low | |
| 21:30 | BR | Interest Rate Decision | 13.75 | 13.75 | 13.75 | Medium | |