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Brazil PPI YoY climbed to 9.42% in December 2024, released February 2025, up 1.8% from November's 7.62% reading. The print came in hotter than the 8.2% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. PPI YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, PPI YoY averaged 6.74%, vs 6.37% in the prior 3-month window. PPI YoY is now the highest in 26 months.
across last 12 releases
Feb 2025
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/BRL | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish BRL | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
PPI YoY (Brazil) was reported at 9.42% in February 2025. This beat the market consensus of 8.2% by 1.22%. The reading rose from the previous value of 7.62%.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 7.63%, up from the prior three at 6.37%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, positively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.76%.
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (May 28) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (May 29).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2025.
PPI YoY stands for Producer Price Index Year-over-Year and is a key economic indicator used to measure the average change in prices received by domestic producers for their goods and services over a 12-month period. It is often used as a gauge of inflationary pressures in the economy and can provide valuable insights into the overall health of the manufacturing sector. PPI YoY is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions about pricing strategies, production levels, and monetary policy.
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Dec 2024): actual 9.42 %, consensus 8.2 %. Prior reading (Nov 2024): 7.59 %. Before that (Oct 2024): 5.89 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/BRL (Bullish BRL, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, May 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11:30 | Foreign Direct Investment | 6.04 | 5.2 | 6.29 | Low | ||
| 11:30 | Current Account | -6.04 | -5.8 | -7.43 | Low | ||
| Tuesday, May 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | FGV Consumer Confidence | 89.1 | 89.6 | 88.65 | Low | ||
| Wednesday, May 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI MoM | 0.89 | 1 | 1.00 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | IPCA mid-month CPI YoY | 4.37 | 4.5 | 4.50 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 28, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:30 | Bank Lending MoM | 0.9 | 0.8 | 0.75 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 2.37 | 2.1 | 2.10 | Low | ||
| 12:00 | Unemployment Rate | 6.1 | 6 | 6.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | -1.54 | -1.2 | -1.20 | Low | ||