Loading page content
Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Balance of Trade Yuan climbed to 905.97B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
China Balance of Trade Yuan climbed to 905.97B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 96.67B from August's 809.3B reading. The print exceeded the 805B consensus by 100.97B. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 715.12B. Over the past 3 months, Balance of Trade Yuan averaged 827.45B, vs 722.91B in the prior 3-month window. Balance of Trade Yuan is now the highest in 6 months.
Latest Release
905.97
Actual
805
Consensus
809.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±4.44 billion
across last 5 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 815.34
Actual: 905.97
Error: -90.63
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Balance of Trade Yuan (China) was reported at 905.97 billion in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 805.00 billion by 100.97 billion. The reading rose from the previous value of 809.30 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 10, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and S&P Global Services PMI (Nov 4).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
SHARE
Balance of Trade Yuan - CN
Loading chart data...
About Balance of Trade Yuan — China
DEFINITION
China's Balance of Trade Yuan for September reached 905.970 billion CNY, surpassing the estimate of 805.000 billion and rising from August's 809.300 billion. This marks a significant increase, indicating stronger trade surplus momentum compared to the previous month. Market focus will remain on upcoming trade data and policy signals amid this robust expansion. Updated 10/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 906 B, consensus 805 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 809.3 B. Before that (Jul 2026): 767.1 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
SIGMANOMICS MARKET FORECAST ENGINE
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
FOREXCRYPTOSTOCKSCOMMODITIESINDICESAPI
BLSBEAFMPWORLD BANKFRED
1,456+ instruments247 indicators530+ correlationsREST + GQL API
4,151 economic indicators127 countries covered6 data sources
FREDBLSEIAECBBOJFMP
Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:45 | CN | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 51.6 | 51.30 | High | |