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China Balance of Trade Yuan climbed to 723.98 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 138.38 from April's 585.6 reading. The print exceeded the 637 consensus by 86.98. Balance of Trade Yuan has now risen for 3 consecutive months.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Balance of Trade Yuan (China) was reported at 723.98 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 637.00 by 86.98. The reading rose from the previous value of 585.60. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
The next release is scheduled for July 14, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Jun 22) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
China's Balance of Trade Yuan for May came in at 723.980 billion CNY, beating the estimate of 637.000 billion CNY. This marks a rise from April's 585.600 billion CNY, indicating a strengthening trade surplus. The stronger reading supports a stable outlook for China's trade sector amid ongoing global economic adjustments. Updated 6/9/26
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 724, consensus 637. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 585.7. Before that (Mar 2026): 354.8.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.45 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.45 | High | |
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | -4.1 | -1.6 | -2 | -3.05 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.40 | High | |