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China Exports climbed to 13.8M in May 2026, released June 2026, up 4M from April's 9.8M reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| USD/CNH | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Exports (China) was reported at 13.80 million in June 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 9.80 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 13.92 million, ranging from 4.80 million to 36.10 million across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 28.67 million, up from the prior three at 6.43 million.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Jun 22) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 13.8 M. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 9.8 M. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.7 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.45 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.45 | High | |
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | -4.1 | -1.6 | -2 | -3.05 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.40 | High | |