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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina Exports climbed to 18.6M in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased September 2026
China Exports climbed to 18.6M in August 2026, released September 2026, up 0.8M from July's 17.8M reading.
Latest Release
18.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
17.800000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.69 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.54 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.49 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.43 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Exports (China) was reported at 18.60 million in September 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 17.80 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 18.06 million, ranging from 5.20 million to 36.10 million across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 19.07 million, down from the prior three at 28.67 million. Volatility over the past year (σ 11.00 million) is higher than the prior year (σ 3.05 million).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include New Yuan Loans (Sep 12) and New Loans (Sep 12).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
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Exports - CN
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About Exports — China
DEFINITION
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 18.6 M. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 17.8 M. Before that (Jul 2026): 17.8 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.69) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CN Events
| Tuesday, September 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03:00 | CN | Imports YoY | 28.2 | 27.5 | 30 | 29.10 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade | 119.1 | 112.5 | 119.1 | 119.10 | High |
| 03:00 | CN | Balance of Trade Yuan | 809.3 | 767.07 | 795 | 802.15 | Low |
| 03:00 | CN | Exports YoY | 25 | 23.9 | 25 | 25.00 | High |
| Wednesday, September 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate YoY | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.78 | High |
| 01:30 | CN | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Medium |
| 01:30 | CN | Producer Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 3.5 | 3.7 | 3.73 | Medium |