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China Exports climbed to 20.8M in June 2026, released July 2026, up 7M from May's 13.8M reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.70 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.53 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.47 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.42 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Exports (China) was reported at 20.80 million in July 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 13.80 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 15.43 million, ranging from 4.80 million to 36.10 million across 9 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 23.57 million, up from the prior three at 15.67 million.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD).
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Aug 3) and S&P Global Services PMI (Aug 5).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
Exports refer to the goods and services that a country produces and sells to other countries. This financial indicator is used to measure the strength of a country's economy and its international trade relationships. A high level of exports can indicate a healthy economy and a competitive market, while a decrease in exports may signal a decline in economic activity. This information is important for businesses, investors, and policymakers to make informed decisions about trade and economic policies.
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 20.8 M. Prior reading (May 2026): 13.8 M. Before that (Apr 2026): 9.8 M.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bullish S&P 500, r=0.70) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | NBS General PMI | 49.3 | 50.6 | 50.4 | 49.85 | Low | |
| 01:30 | NBS Non Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 50.2 | 50 | 49.50 | Medium | |
| 01:30 | NBS Manufacturing PMI | 49.2 | 50.3 | 50 | 49.60 | High | |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49 | 51.7 | 52 | 50.50 | High | |