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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina CPI MoM fell to -0.1% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
China CPI MoM fell to -0.1% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 0.4% from April's 0.3% reading. The print came in hotter than the -0.2% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.2%.
Latest Release
-0.1
Actual
-0.2
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI MoM (China) was reported at -0.1% in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -0.2% by 0.1%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.3%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPI MoM - CN
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About CPI MoM — China
DEFINITION
China's June CPI MoM fell by -0.100000%, beating the -0.200000% estimate and down from May's 0.300000%. This marks a continued moderation in monthly inflation, shifting from expansion in May to slight contraction in June. Markets will watch upcoming data for further inflation trends amid steady central bank policy. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual -0.1 %, consensus -0.2 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 0.3 %. Before that (Mar 2026): -0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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