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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ChinaChina CPI YoY held to 1.2% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
China CPI YoY held to 1.2% in May 2026, released June 2026. The print came in cooler than the 1.3% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.1%.
Latest Release
1.2
Actual
1.3
Consensus
1.2
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (China) was reported at 1.2% in June 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.3% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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CPI YoY - CN
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About CPI YoY — China
DEFINITION
China's CPI YoY for May came in at 1.200%, matching April's 1.200% and missing the 1.300% estimate. Inflation held steady month-over-month, indicating no acceleration in consumer prices. Market focus remains on upcoming economic data for further policy signals. Updated 6/10/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 1.2 %, consensus 1.3 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 1.2 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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