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China S&P Global Composite PMI climbed to 49.5 Points in August 2026, up 0.2 Points from July's 49.3 Points reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Composite PMI (China) was reported at 49.50 Points in August 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 49.30 Points. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include FDI (Sep 17) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Sep 21).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
The S&P Global Composite PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health of a country by combining the manufacturing and services sectors. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy, as well as future trends, and is used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. With its comprehensive and timely data, the S&P Global Composite PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the performance of the global economy.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 49.5 Points. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 49.3 Points. Before that (May 2026): 50.5 Points.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, September 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | M2 Money Supply YoY | 7.5 | 7.7 | 7.6 | 7.55 | Low | |
| 09:00 | Total Social Financing | 1660 | 1410 | 2040 | 1850.00 | Low | |
| 09:00 | Outstanding Loan Growth YoY | 4.9 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.00 | Low | |
| 09:00 | New Loans | 60 | -340 | 400 | 230.00 | Medium | |
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3 | -3.2 | -3.1 | -3.10 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 | 0.63 | High | |
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.3 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.20 | High | |
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 5.2 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 4.95 | High | |
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | -7.2 | -6.7 | -7.2 | -7.72 | Medium | |