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China S&P Global Composite PMI climbed to 50.7 Points in September 2026, up 1.2 Points from August's 49.5 Points reading. The reading matched the 50.1 Points consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Composite PMI (China) was reported at 50.70 Points in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 50.10 Points by 0.60 Points. The reading rose from the previous value of 49.50 Points.
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 49.83 Points, down from the prior three at 51.20 Points.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
The next release is scheduled for October 31, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include NBS Non Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31) and NBS Manufacturing PMI (Oct 31).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
The S&P Global Composite PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the overall economic health of a country by combining the manufacturing and services sectors. It provides valuable insights into the current state of the economy, as well as future trends, and is used by investors, policymakers, and businesses to make informed decisions. With its comprehensive and timely data, the S&P Global Composite PMI is a crucial tool for understanding the performance of the global economy.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 50.7 Points, consensus 50.1 Points. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 49.5 Points. Before that (Jul 2026): 49.3 Points.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:45 | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.1 | 51.6 | 51.30 | High | ||