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China S&P Global Services PMI climbed to 54.4 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 1.8 from April's 52.6 reading. The reading matched the 52.3 consensus.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CNY | ▼ Inverse | −0.50 | FOREX | Bullish CNY | → View |
| AUD/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.45 | FOREX | Bullish AUD | → View |
| Copper | ▲ Direct | +0.40 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
S&P Global Services PMI (China) was reported at 54.40 in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 52.30 by 2.10. The reading rose from the previous value of 52.60. This is classified as a medium-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY). A secondary relationship exists with AUD/USD, positively correlated (Bullish AUD).
The next release is scheduled for July 3, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Loan Prime Rate 5Y (Jun 22) and Loan Prime Rate 1Y (Jun 22).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
The S&P Global Services PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the global services sector. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the services industry, which accounts for a significant portion of the global economy. This indicator is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers in key service sectors, providing timely and reliable data on business activity, new orders, employment, and prices. The S&P Global Services PMI is a crucial tool for investors, businesses, and policymakers in making informed decisions and assessing the overall economic outlook.
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 54.4, consensus 52.3. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 52.6. Before that (Mar 2026): 52.1.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary headwind in the projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CNY (Bullish CNY, r=-0.50) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01:30 | House Price Index YoY | -3.5 | -3.5 | -3.4 | -3.45 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Retail Sales YoY | -0.6 | 0.2 | -0.3 | -0.45 | High | |
| 02:00 | Fixed Asset Investment | -4.1 | -1.6 | -2 | -3.05 | Medium | |
| 02:00 | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.15 | Low | |
| 02:00 | Industrial Production YoY | 4.5 | 4.1 | 4.3 | 4.40 | High | |