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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ItalyItaly Balance of Trade Non-EU fell to 3.85B in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Italy Balance of Trade Non-EU fell to 3.85B in May 2026, down 1.94B from April's 5.79B reading.
Latest Release
3.850000
Actual
—
Consensus
5.790000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Balance of Trade Non-EU (Italy) was reported at 3.85 billion in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 5.79 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 26, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Business Confidence (Jun 26) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 26).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Balance of Trade Non-EU - IT
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About Balance of Trade Non-EU — Italy
DEFINITION
Italy's Balance of Trade Non-EU for April registered at 3.850000 billion EUR, down from March's 5.790000 billion EUR. The decline signals a contraction in the trade surplus outside the EU compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming trade data for further clarity on Italy's external sector dynamics. Updated 5/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 3.85 B. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 5.64 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print. Current dynamics are the primary tailwind in the projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - IT Events
| Monday, June 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | IT | Balance of Trade | 4.293 | 4.813 | 5.19 | 4.74 | Medium |
| Tuesday, June 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 3.3 | 3.25 | Low | |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.7 | 3.2 | 3.15 | Low | |
| 08:00 | IT | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 1.6 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | |
| 08:00 | IT | Inflation Rate MoM | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.35 | Low | |